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Author Archives: Owen Carlisle

Live Betting Modeling After BetMGM Updates

Live betting modeling has become a sharper operational question after BetMGM’s recent football product updates. As of September 17, 2026, the supported facts point to a sportsbook product that is placing more weight on in-game wager management, pricing notifications, injury-linked … Read the rest

Posted byOwen CarlisleSeptember 17, 2026Posted inModeling

Illinois Marketing Ban Tests Betting CRM Risk

The Illinois Marketing Ban proposal, as described in the September 10, 2026 research record, would create a new compliance constraint for gambling operators that use customer data to shape promotional campaigns. The rule was still under consideration as of September … Read the rest

Posted byOwen CarlisleSeptember 16, 2026Posted inCompliance

Sportsbook Risk Mitigation After August Drop

Sportsbook Risk Mitigation became a sharper operating issue after August 2026 research showed weaker consumer satisfaction across U.S. online sportsbook and iGaming brands. The American Customer Satisfaction Index reported a 3% year-over-year decline to 74 out of 100, even as … Read the rest

Posted byOwen CarlisleSeptember 15, 2026Posted inRisk Mitigation

Player Prop Modeling for DraftKings Revenue

Player Prop Modeling dashboard with trading desks reviewing sportsbook risk metrics

Player Prop Modeling is useful because modern sportsbook revenue is no longer driven only by spreads, totals, and moneylines. DraftKings’ recent financial data, together with broader U.S. sportsbook reporting, shows a market in which player props and same-game parlays can … Read the rest

Posted byOwen CarlisleSeptember 10, 2026Posted inModeling

Kalshi ruling impact on market compliance

Compliance team assessing Kalshi ruling impact across state access controls

The Kalshi ruling impact is now a practical compliance issue for prediction market operators, not only a legal debate about federal exchange status. As of September 7, 2026, the recent rulings described in the research record had already occurred, and … Read the rest

Posted byOwen CarlisleSeptember 7, 2026Posted inCompliance

Operator Pricing Models Under Regulatory Demand

Operator pricing models shown on analytics screens in a sportsbook risk meeting

Operator pricing models are under tighter review as regulators target opaque charges, switching barriers, and customer-cost disclosure. The clearest recent evidence in the supplied research comes from Canadian telecom regulation, not sports wagering. That distinction matters. A sportsbook should not … Read the rest

Posted byOwen CarlisleSeptember 3, 2026Posted inModeling

Risk Mitigation For New Jersey Sportsbooks

New Jersey Sportsbooks compliance team reviewing risk controls in a conference room

New Jersey Sportsbooks are facing a sharper compliance test in 2026: responsible gaming intervention, payment restrictions, account-limit transparency, AML monitoring, cybersecurity governance, and integrity reporting are all moving from policy topics into operating requirements or near-term legislative risk. The safest … Read the rest

Posted byOwen CarlisleAugust 27, 2026Posted inRisk Mitigation

Sportsbook Revenue Variance by State Models

Analyst reviewing sportsbook revenue variance charts across U.S. states

Sportsbook revenue variance is not a single-number problem. State-level results can change because of tax design, online-versus-retail share, operator count, promotional treatment, event timing and hold. A cautious model should separate those drivers before comparing one state with another. The … Read the rest

Posted byOwen CarlisleAugust 26, 2026Posted inModeling

CFTC Props Regulation and Operator Pricing

Analyst reviewing CFTC Props Regulation pricing risks in an office

CFTC Props Regulation is now a pricing issue as much as a compliance issue. As of August 25, 2026, the relevant pressure point is not a quoted sportsbook line on a single game, but the treatment of event contracts and … Read the rest

Posted byOwen CarlisleAugust 25, 2026Posted inCompliance

Kalshi legal modeling for Prediction Markets

Kalshi legal modeling dashboard with risk charts and legal event timelines

Kalshi legal modeling is now a practical risk task for firms comparing prediction markets with regulated sportsbook products. The case study is not about forecasting which party wins in court. It is about measuring how legal actions can change access, … Read the rest

Posted byOwen CarlisleAugust 20, 2026Posted inModeling

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