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Modeling

Modeling
Sportsbook Market Share Shifts in U.S. States

Sportsbook Market Share analysis of 2026 state data, including FanDuel, DraftKings, Fanatics and BetMGM handle and revenue signals.

Rafael Ibanez - November 7, 2026
Modeling
Event-Driven Demand in Market Handle Models

Event-Driven Demand is reshaping handle models as major events concentrate travel, liquidity, pricing risk, and compliance needs.

Bianca Duarte - November 4, 2026
Modeling
Prop Pricing Margins by Operator Strategy

Prop pricing margins require operator-specific modeling of elasticity, prop type, parlays, and live repricing without treating every market alike.

Rafael Ibanez - November 3, 2026
Modeling
Event-Driven Demand in Tournament Betting Models

Event-Driven Demand explains why tournament betting surges by stage, market type, and settlement pressure without implying certain outcomes.

Rafael Ibanez - October 29, 2026
Modeling
Sportsbook Pricing Gaps In Market Modeling

Sportsbook Pricing Gaps explain why regulated books and prediction markets can show different user costs, fees, holds and execution risk.

Rafael Ibanez - October 28, 2026
Modeling
Prop Betting Margins: Why Props Cost More

Prop betting margins ran far above main markets in 2026 data, creating higher cost baselines for modelers and bettors.

Rafael Ibanez - October 24, 2026
Modeling
Live Betting Margins in 2026 Pricing Models

Live Betting Margins often exceed pre-match juice; a cautious 2026 modeling view of overround, market depth, and risk controls.

Owen Carlisle - October 20, 2026
Modeling
Prediction Market Tax Revenue Risk Modeling

Prediction market tax modeling shows how sports event contracts may redirect state revenue, with New York’s $1.3B base under pressure.

Owen Carlisle - October 19, 2026
Modeling
Integrated Betting Apps Shift User Models

Integrated Betting Apps are changing account use, mobile revenue concentration, and risk signals for consumer behavior models.

Bianca Duarte - October 16, 2026
Modeling
Player Prop Pricing Gaps: Retail Vs Sharp

Player prop pricing analysis comparing retail and sharp sportsbook vig, model risk, market depth, and cautious compliance controls.

Bianca Duarte - October 13, 2026