
Rafael Ibanez
Betting Models & Quantitative Markets Editor
Rafael Ibanez covers the mathematical models used to understand betting markets and customer behavior. His work explores price competitiveness, event-driven demand, prop-market margins, tax exposure, and the differences between regulated sportsbooks and prediction-market platforms.
More Betting Insights
Sportsbook Market Share analysis of 2026 state data, including FanDuel, DraftKings, Fanatics and BetMGM handle and revenue signals.
Prop pricing margins require operator-specific modeling of elasticity, prop type, parlays, and live repricing without treating every market alike.
Event-Driven Demand explains why tournament betting surges by stage, market type, and settlement pressure without implying certain outcomes.
Sportsbook Pricing Gaps explain why regulated books and prediction markets can show different user costs, fees, holds and execution risk.
Prop betting margins ran far above main markets in 2026 data, creating higher cost baselines for modelers and bettors.
Bettor harassment compliance now affects sportsbook controls as pro leagues press regulators on abuse, exclusion lists, and market integrity.
Nebraska Betting Campaign modeling review of operator funding, tax leakage, and revenue uncertainty without picks or unsourced odds.
Sportsbook Price Competitiveness analysis using 2026 vig and loyalty data, with cautious modeling notes for regulated market comparison.
Sportsbook pricing varies by operator, and loyalty costs show why bettors and traders should compare regulated markets with care.
DraftKings Pricing Competitiveness is measured through September 2026 best-price share, vig, market depth, and operator differentiation.
Fanatics App Strategy analysis of its combined sportsbook, casino, and prediction-market app, with regulation, loyalty, and risk notes.
Live Betting Trends show how in-play markets are reshaping operator revenue, pricing depth, streaming, and risk controls in 2026.
