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Rafael Ibanez

Betting Models & Quantitative Markets Editor

Rafael Ibanez covers the mathematical models used to understand betting markets and customer behavior. His work explores price competitiveness, event-driven demand, prop-market margins, tax exposure, and the differences between regulated sportsbooks and prediction-market platforms.

More Betting Insights

November 7, 2026
Sportsbook Market Share Shifts in U.S. States

Sportsbook Market Share analysis of 2026 state data, including FanDuel, DraftKings, Fanatics and BetMGM handle and revenue signals.

November 3, 2026
Prop Pricing Margins by Operator Strategy

Prop pricing margins require operator-specific modeling of elasticity, prop type, parlays, and live repricing without treating every market alike.

October 29, 2026
Event-Driven Demand in Tournament Betting Models

Event-Driven Demand explains why tournament betting surges by stage, market type, and settlement pressure without implying certain outcomes.

October 28, 2026
Sportsbook Pricing Gaps In Market Modeling

Sportsbook Pricing Gaps explain why regulated books and prediction markets can show different user costs, fees, holds and execution risk.

October 24, 2026
Prop Betting Margins: Why Props Cost More

Prop betting margins ran far above main markets in 2026 data, creating higher cost baselines for modelers and bettors.

October 10, 2026
Bettor Harassment Compliance Strategy Shift

Bettor harassment compliance now affects sportsbook controls as pro leagues press regulators on abuse, exclusion lists, and market integrity.

October 7, 2026
Nebraska Betting Campaign Funding Model

Nebraska Betting Campaign modeling review of operator funding, tax leakage, and revenue uncertainty without picks or unsourced odds.

October 5, 2026
Sportsbook Price Competitiveness Model In 2026

Sportsbook Price Competitiveness analysis using 2026 vig and loyalty data, with cautious modeling notes for regulated market comparison.

September 28, 2026
Sportsbook Pricing Gaps in Loyalty Models

Sportsbook pricing varies by operator, and loyalty costs show why bettors and traders should compare regulated markets with care.

September 14, 2026
DraftKings Pricing Competitiveness In 2026 Markets

DraftKings Pricing Competitiveness is measured through September 2026 best-price share, vig, market depth, and operator differentiation.

September 8, 2026
Fanatics App Strategy: Integrated Betting Model

Fanatics App Strategy analysis of its combined sportsbook, casino, and prediction-market app, with regulation, loyalty, and risk notes.

September 3, 2026
Live Betting Trends And In-Play Market Design

Live Betting Trends show how in-play markets are reshaping operator revenue, pricing depth, streaming, and risk controls in 2026.